When,
on
On
investigating its orbit it was found that it would reach perihelion at 0.61AU
on
Click
here to for a study of the light
curve and prospects for activity (Updated: 21/08/2003).
Click
here to for a comparison of prospects for
activity with C/2001 Q4 (NEAT) (Updated:
The light curve
The light curve is only poorly
covered at present and although the comet may become very bright in May 2004 it
is still very uncertain just how bright the comet will be. The comet is of
Halley class, with an absolute magnitude of +4.5, thus it is about 2 magnitudes
brighter than the average new comet. This means that although it is
intrinsically a fairly bright object, and gets close enough to the Sun to
become bright, without the danger of disruption, much depends on just how close
it gets to the Earth. In this sense it seems that the close approach to Earth
after perihelion is secure, but a few days difference in the perihelion pass
date could have quite a significant effect on the light curve.
At present the estimate
based on a 4th power law would suggest that the comet should reach magnitude
+1, but if the brightening is slower, as it often is, it would make the comet
2-3 magnitudes fainter. It is thus highly premature to suggest that it will be
a bright object, although it should be naked-eye.
The light curve is very
sensitive to the geocentric distance. The light curve has been brightening
rapidly from discovery, although there was a sharp change in slope in early
2003.
Observations by:
Última actualización 29/12/2003
Por M.R.Kidger