Predictive power?
*The 11.6 year period predicted correctly that a new outburst would occur in November 1994.
*The maximum was also correctly predicted to be smaller than the 1983 outburst, according to the apparent 60-year modulation of amplitude.
*This was a success for the model and widely regarded as confirming the periodicity.
*But… maybe it did not! (watch this space)
*